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Question: Answered & Verified by Expert
The probability that a ship safely reaches a port is $\frac{1}{3}$. The probability that out of 5 ships, at least 4 ships would arrive safely is
MathematicsProbabilityNDANDA 2017 (Phase 2)
Options:
  • A $\frac{1}{243}$
  • B $\frac{10}{243}$
  • C $\frac{11}{243}$
  • D $\frac{13}{243}$
Solution:
2201 Upvotes Verified Answer
The correct answer is: $\frac{11}{243}$
Probability that a ship reaches port $=\frac{1}{3}$
Probability that a ship not reaching port $=1-\frac{1}{3}=\frac{2}{3}$ Number of ships $(\mathrm{n})=5$. $\mathrm{r}=4,5$
$\mathrm{p}(4)+\mathrm{p}(5)={ }^{5} \mathrm{c}_{4}\left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^{4}\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^{5-4}+{ }^{5} \mathrm{c}_{5}\left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^{5}\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^{5-5}$
$=5\left(\frac{2}{3^{5}}\right)+\frac{1}{3^{5}}$
$=\frac{10}{243}+\frac{1}{243}=\frac{11}{243}$

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