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of the population are smokers. A smoker has times more chances to develop lung cancer then a non-smoker. A person is diagnosed with lung cancer and the probability that this person is a smoker is .Then the value of is _____ .
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The correct answer is:
9
Given,
In a city, of the population is smoker
So,
And smoker has times more chance of being diagnosed with lung cancer,
So, if then ,
Now, a person is selected at random and found to be diagnosed with lung cancer,
So, total probability of having a lung cancer will be
So the probability of him being smoker (using bayes' theorem) will be
Now comparing with ,
Then the value of will be .
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